The closer the NFL season gets to its later stages, the more significant every game is. Be it an experienced bettor or one who’s just entering the action, Week 12 comes with a new set of games full of mystery, shocks, and enough action to take a good bet on. Below are the best ATS picks for Week 12, factoring in the odds and trends that can either make or break your bets.
1. Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions – Detroit -7.5
Arguably the strongest team in the NFL, the Detroit Lions have proven to be a strong offense so far this season, and a defense that continues to improve every week. Green Bay’s quarterback situation hasn’t provided much consistency with Jordan Love, but they have had enough competitiveness against Detroit, historically speaking. However, Detroit is riding a hot streak recently, and Green Bay just came off a poor series.
Pick: Detroit -7.5
The Lions have been covering spreads with ease this season, and their offense should continue to put up big numbers against a Packers defense that’s been inconsistent. Detroit’s superior play on both sides of the ball makes them the safe bet here.
2. Dallas Cowboys at Washington Commanders – Dallas -11.5
The positives for Defense for the Commanders exist, but injuries and inconsistency have kept them from playing at the level expected. With Dak Prescott behind the helm and an outstanding defense, the Cowboys should have no problem taking care of this double-digit spread against a team that has now lost three in a row.
Pick: Dallas -11.5
The struggles of Washington, particularly on offense, will suit Dallas just fine. It should be a blowout victory for the Cowboys by two touchdowns or more. Washington cannot seem to keep up with high-powered teams this year.
3. Miami Dolphins at New York Jets – Miami -9.5
The Dolphins stay as one of the highest-scoring teams in the league, scoring more than 30 points per game while the Jets still are unsure about who will be standing under the center when their game is underway and did not manage to find consistent offense at all. Such a well-defended squad like the Jets can easily cover only smaller spreads before such an explosive team on offense as Miami.
Selection: Miami -9.5
Dolphins on the rebound as they will bounce back this week coming off a close margin of loss. Their offence will easily tear up the board against Jets, who hardly maintain an extended pace. Thus, Dolphins should be at ease on this cover through their swift speed on offensive plays.
4. San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks – San Francisco -7.5
As part of the top teams within the NFL this season, the 49ers come into a very stiff test tonight in Seattle. Seattle is always a tough play at home, and Seattle’s defense is something that is always an enigma. But the 49ers are playing at a strength level, with elements of versatility added by McCaffrey and Deebo Samuel in their attack. San Francisco’s defense also should give Geno Smith and the Seattle offense trouble.
Pick: San Francisco -7.5
This one should be no different; the 49ers have been dominating, especially in big games. Even with some brilliant moments from Seattle, the talent and depth of San Francisco should ensure them as a safe cover of the spread.
5. Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders – Kansas City -8.5
The Chiefs will come off a big victory and continue clicking with its offense. After midseason lulls, Patrick Mahomes and his teammates continue to be among the NFL best offenses. While the Raiders are in full-blown transition, their own offense cannot seem to stay ahead of the league leaders. Kansas City’s defense has also gotten significantly sterner, not making the Raiders’ situation any brighter.
Pick: Kansas City -8.5
Kansas City’s firepower is just too much for a discombobulated Raiders squad, even on the road. The Chiefs should blow this one out by more than a touchdown, and easily cover.
6. Buffalo Bills at Philadelphia Eagles – Philadelphia -3.5
Maybe game of the week goes to the Eagles with workmanlike leader in NFL candidate Jalen Hurts, versus Buffalo Bills, trying to determine this season. Through six weeks, the Eagles have proven to be a well-balanced offense and defense. Buffalo Bills have not shown great consistency; they even took some nasty hits and endured a couple of crucial injuries that definitely limit the way they want to be up with other teams on the field.
Pick: Philadelphia -3.5
This season, Philadelphia has been nearly flawless. They have found ways to win close games-and that is what they must do here. With the home-field advantage and the inconsistency of Buffalo, the Eagles should be able to cover this spread in a close, competitive game.
7. Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears – Minnesota -2.5
Minnesota Vikings: They’ve rebounded pretty well after a terrible start and their defense has been solid the last few weeks. They had a few bright spots in Justin Fields, but the injuries and turnovers haven’t allowed them to feel particularly confident. Minnesota should take care of business here on the road against a Bears team that hasn’t put it all together yet.
Pick: Minnesota -2.5
The Vikings are playing better football and carry that momentum into this game. The inconsistency of Chicago, particularly on offense, provides a clear advantage for Minnesota in this game.
8. Cleveland Browns at Denver Broncos – Cleveland -1.5
Cleveland’s stout defense faces a resurgent Denver Broncos team, which has found its rhythm after a rough start. While Denver has shown improvement, Cleveland will have a defense led by Myles Garrett that beats the sputtering Denver offense on offense. On offense, Cleveland has enough playmakers to run the game to win.
Pick: Cleveland -1.5
Cleveland’s defense will shut down Russell Wilson and the Broncos, while their offense secures a close victory. The Browns are the better team in this game.
Conclusion
Week 12 promises an exciting NFL finish, with key matchups determining critical postseason placements for teams. Several teams are on hot streaks, contrasting with others who have proven to be inconsistent this season. Most picks against the spread this week, based on trends and form, provide solid betting opportunities for gamblers. Whether backing favorites like the Lions and Cowboys or underdogs like the Vikings and Browns, spot trends, bet smartly.
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